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market insights 2 6 october

Stay Ahead of the Week: Market Events (2 – 6/10/23)

This week’s market events:

Stay informed and prepared with the following updates

economic flag us

USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep):

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector It is a significant indicator of the overall economic situation in the US. Stronger-than-expected prints usually have a positive impact on the USD. In addition to the headline PMI, the Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index numbers are watched closely as they shine a light on the labour market and inflation.

economic flag eu

EUR Retail Sales (YoY)(Aug):

The Retail Sales released by the Eurostat is a measure of changes in sales of the Euro zone retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Usually, the positive economic growth anticipates “Bullish” for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish, for the EUR.

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USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (Sep):

The Average Hourly Earnings released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

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USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep):

The Nonfarm Payrolls released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics presents the number of new jobs created during the previous month in all non-agricultural businesses. The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile due to their high relation with economic policy decisions made by the Federal Reserve. The number is also subject to strong reviews in the upcoming months, and those reviews also tend to trigger volatility in the Forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish), although previous months’ reviews ​and the unemployment rate are as relevant as the headline figure, and therefore market’s reaction depends on how the market assets them all.”

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